Team Soon: AGI This Decade

Four insiders betting human-level (or 'powerful') AI arrives before 2030.

The top 3

  1. Amodei: 'As Early As 2026': Anthropic's CEO pegs AI smarter than a Nobel laureate across fields at roughly 2026-2027.
  2. Kurzweil: 2029, No Revisions: He's held the same human-level-AI date since 1999; full singularity by 2045.
  3. Altman & Musk: 'A Few Thousand Days': Altman's superintelligence ETA lands in the 2030s; Musk bets smarter-than-any-human even sooner.

Sources

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